A Synthesis of YWO Broker Contributor Analyst Fred Razak’s Weekly Forecast
Navigating the Pivot: Consolidation and Catalysts A new trading week has begun, and the economic calendar is heating up. We are currently at a pivotal crossroads as markets enter what YWO Broker Contributor Analyst Fred Razak describes as critical “consolidation territory.”
In his latest weekly breakdown, Razak explores the three primary themes set to define the days ahead: persistent U.S. Dollar weakness, a wave of high-impact central bank decisions, and a critical look at corporate health through major retail earnings. The overarching question for traders is whether recent market moves are merely a temporary bounce or the start of a sustained comeback.
Based on Razak’s analysis, here are the key themes and technical setups to watch for the week of February 16th to 20th.
1. The Macro Theme: Dollar Weakness and Policy Watch
The dominant narrative continues to be the persistent weakness of the U.S. Dollar. Razak highlights the Greenback’s struggle against major counterparts, specifically noting the potential for continued strength in the “Aussie” (AUD) and “Kiwi” (NZD). Traders must determine if we are due for a reversal or if the dollar’s downward trend will continue.
This currency volatility will be tested by a slate of high-impact policy events:
- Tuesday: Focus shifts to UK employment data and Canadian Core CPI.
- Wednesday: A major day for policy watchers, featuring the RBNZ rate decision, UK CPI, and the release of the Fed (FOMC) minutes.
- Friday: A final pulse check on global growth via Manufacturing and Services PMI data from Germany and the U.S.
2. A Tale of Two Stocks: Walmart vs. Apple
In the equities sector, Razak points to a fascinating divergence between two market titans.
- Walmart (WMT): Taking center stage on Thursday, the retail giant releases earnings while its stock is on a strong breakout to new record highs. It is being viewed by some analysts as a sign of retail resilience..
- Apple (AAPL): In sharp contrast, Apple is currently testing key support levels following a significant pullback from its 185 peak.
Razak notes that international markets, including the Dow Jones, have seen only a slight bounce after recent sell-offs. The key question is whether this “bottoming out” will hold or whether further downside volatility could emerge.3. Commodities and Crypto: The Hunt for Momentum
- Commodities: Gold is currently leading a metals comeback, while Crude Oil is holding at a critical support level. Razak suggests keeping a close watch on whether these support zones can trigger a broader reversal.
- Crypto: The digital asset space is showing signs of life. Razak notes Bitcoin’s attempt to follow through on its move toward the $70k mark, but also highlights potential surprise recovery moves in altcoins like XRP and DOGE.
Conclusion: The “Stepped” Pivot Fred Razak suggests that in this environment, markets may not pivot all at once but rather “in steps.” This requires traders to be highly selective and diligent, focusing only on assets that are truly moving rather than anticipating a uniform market recovery.
Watch the Full Technical Breakdown
This summary only scratches the surface. For the full technical analysis, detailed price levels, and Fred’s broader market outlook, watch the complete video below
Don’t go into the week uninformed — get the market context you need to stay aware of potential moves..
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